Harris’ chances of winning the polls with 270 electoral college votes depends on her winning all the swing states Biden won in the 2020 elections.
Republican candidate Donald Trump is inching closer towards victory every minute, securing 230 electoral votes so far, slimming the chances of Kamala Harris’ victory and the return of a Democratic government.
While experts have decoded the aftermath of the race to the White House if Trump and Harris end up in a tie, what remains of interest is that Harris could still defeat the former US president with exactly 270 electoral college votes if she manages to bag the swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
Harris and Trump are locked in a head-on fight as both the leaders take striking leads in the votes’ figures.
However, the chances of the vice president winning these three swing states is also becoming narrower by the second. Trump is leading in all three states, with 51.4% votes in Pennsylvania, 51.5% votes in Michigan, and 51.0% votes in Wisconsin so far.
Trump has also won his first swing state of North Carolina with 50.9% vote, making the presidential race to be a bigger challenge for his Democratic opponent, Kamala Harris.
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Notably, the outcome of Harris still having the chance of emerging victorious remains contingent on her winning all of the swing states that Joe Biden won in the 2020 Presidential elections.
The 2020 elections
In the previous race to the Oval Office, Biden had secured six of the seven swing states of Arizona (49.4% votes), Georgia (49.5% votes), Michigan (50.6% votes), Nevada (50.1%), Pennsylvania (50.0%), and Wisconsin (49.4% votes), while Trump won just one – North Carolina, with 49.9% votes.
Biden won the race to the White House, securing an overall of 51.3% votes nationally. He got the lead to become the 46th President of the United States after Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes placed Biden above the must-needed 270.
Swing states and their electoral votes
An electoral college is a process which includes the selection of electors by voters. These electors then meet and cast votes to pick the next President and vice President of the United States of America.
As the 2024 US presidential race heats up, Vice President Kamala Harris is positioning herself to potentially face off against former President Donald Trump to all of she needs to strategically target swing states and maintain key Democratic strongholds.
Harris can focus on battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona, which are critical to both parties’ paths to victory. In these states, Harris would need to rally support from key demographic groups, including young voters, women, and communities of color, who have been central to Democratic victories in recent years. Additionally, securing larger margins in states like California, New York, and Illinois will be crucial to ensure a strong base.
The dynamics in states like Florida and Georgia, which were pivotal in previous elections, will also play a significant role. Harris must focus on expanding the voter base and maintaining her coalition while countering Trump’s appeal in these areas.
Given the volatile political climate, it remains uncertain how the race will evolve. However, Harris’s ability to win precisely 270 electoral votes will depend on targeting the right states with a compelling message that resonates with a broad cross-section of American voters.
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