3rd wave won’t overwhelm Mumbai hospitals: TIFR model

Published

4 years ago

January 5, 2022

India

3rd wave won’t overwhelm Mumbai hospitals: TIFR model

According to the modeling and data analysis performed by scientists from the Tata Institute of Basic Research, the third wave of Covid-19 pandemic cases driven by the Omicron variant will peak in Mumbai from January 6 to 13, and the death toll will be 2 The month reached its peak. Research (TIFR).

Analysis shows that compared with the second wave, the third wave of surge is manageable for the city because it will not overwhelm medical facilities in terms of hospitalization and oxygen demand.

The simulator model was developed by Sandeep Juneja and Daksh Mittal of TIFR School of Technology and Computer Science. Although they have used the model to make predictions during the first and second waves, the current analysis is performed after introducing the Omicron variant into the simulator.

The model predicted the peak schedule, but the scientists did not predict the number of cases. “It is difficult to predict these numbers because they depend largely on the testing strategy and the people being tested, but our model shows that the peak hospitalization period will be 50% to 70% of the number of hospitalizations we saw during the Delta Wave. %,” Juneja said. He added that they have taken into account that during the peak period of the second wave, the occupancy rate of the Covid dedicated hospital and dedicated Covid medical center was approximately 18,000. In the second wave,” he said. He added that they have regarded the death toll of 90 people as the highest single-day death toll in the second wave. He said: “So, on the peak day of this wave, we may Seeing 30 to 45 deaths. “

Based on existing international data, their analysis assumes that compared with susceptible people, among people who are fully vaccinated and infected with Covid-19, the chance of using Omicron to be hospitalized will be reduced by 70%. Those who are fully vaccinated but not infected have a 55% reduction in their chances. Compared with Delta, susceptible people are much less likely to be hospitalized. According to analysis, compared with delta, the chance of symptoms after Omicron infection is also reduced by 20%.

Juneja emphasized certain warnings. In addition to considering data released by citizen groups, their assumptions are also based on data from South Africa and the United Kingdom. “We really don’t have data from India. We assume that 35% of people who recover from the disease are prone to re-infection. But this is just one of the many scenarios we are considering in South Africa. We also assume that Omicron is twice as infectious as the Delta variant. But this assumption is not yet fully established,” Juneja said. He added that these points should be treated as warnings.

Complete News Source : Hindustan Times

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Amitabh Bachchan: The Heartbreaking Anxiety of Bollywood’s Greatest Icon

Published

6 days ago

June 19, 2026

Digital Post

Amitabh Bachchan: Candid Self-Doubt Confession

Even after five decades of cinematic dominance, Amitabh Bachchan still faces the quiet terrors of the midnight hour. The man who epitomised alpha-masculinity for generations of moviegoers recently made an unexpected confession that shocked his millions of admirers. He continues to have restless nights, locked in a vicious circle of intense self-doubt and crushing work stress.

This revelation is a huge wake-up call for anyone who thinks of him as an invincible acting colossus. It demonstrates that the heavy weight of perfectionism never fully fades, no matter how much celebrity you achieve.

The Haunting Midnight Echoes of Perfectionism

Imagine being a living legend and lying awake at 3 a.m. wondering if your previous performance was a complete failure. Bachchan admitted that he always repeats his sequences in his memory, haunted by the terrible feeling that they “could have been done better.”

This tremendous emotional sensitivity reveals a side of the megastar that the public has rarely seen. Onscreen, we witness the towering demeanour, booming baritone voice, and perfect delivery. But, behind closed doors, he suffers from the same paralysing fear that ordinary people face on a daily basis in the workplace.

Why the Deepest Passion Breeds Internal Chaos

You might ask why a man who has won every major film award is so concerned about delivering a single sentence. True genius is rarely characterised by serenity of mind. For Bachchan, acting is more than a job; it is a sacred, consuming fire that demands flawless excellence every time.

When you care so deeply about your craft, every creative endeavour feels like a high-stakes bet on your entire legacy. This tremendous artistic drive is a two-edged blade that produces amazing art while completely destroying your mental serenity.

The Heavy Price of an Enduring Legacy

Living under the microscope of the public eye for fifty years has a catastrophic psychological impact. Every move Amitabh Bachchan makes is immediately analysed, criticised, or worshipped by countless millions of people.

That amount of tremendous expectation establishes a distinct, invisible prison of performance anxiety. The dreadful anxiety of disappointing his big audience keeps his thoughts racing long after the cameras stop rolling. It turns out that the view from the very top of the mountain is extremely lonely and filled with perpetual emotional danger.

Normalizing the Silent Struggle with Mental Health

Bachchan has done an incredible amount to raise worldwide mental health awareness by publicly exposing his personal struggles with work stress. He has effectively removed the heavy veil of shame that typically surrounds the topic of anxiety, particularly among older generations.

If the ultimate “Angry Young Man” of Indian cinema can freely acknowledge to feeling inadequate, then everyone else has the right to be human as well. It is a welcome reminder that being overburdened by your commitments does not imply weakness.

The Relentless Creative Hunger That Never Sleeps

Finally, this severe self-doubt is the secret fuel that drives Amitabh Bachchan to labour continuously at an age when most people have retired. It’s a curious paradox: his severe inner agony serves as the driving reason behind his legendary longevity.

He refuses to rest on his past accomplishments or rely on his immense celebrity to get by. Every sleepless night reveals a man with the raw, eager heart of a novice. He remains gloriously, devastatingly uneasy about his work, which is precisely what makes him an everlasting force in film.

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