3rd wave won’t overwhelm Mumbai hospitals: TIFR model

Published

4 years ago

January 5, 2022

India

3rd wave won’t overwhelm Mumbai hospitals: TIFR model

According to the modeling and data analysis performed by scientists from the Tata Institute of Basic Research, the third wave of Covid-19 pandemic cases driven by the Omicron variant will peak in Mumbai from January 6 to 13, and the death toll will be 2 The month reached its peak. Research (TIFR).

Analysis shows that compared with the second wave, the third wave of surge is manageable for the city because it will not overwhelm medical facilities in terms of hospitalization and oxygen demand.

The simulator model was developed by Sandeep Juneja and Daksh Mittal of TIFR School of Technology and Computer Science. Although they have used the model to make predictions during the first and second waves, the current analysis is performed after introducing the Omicron variant into the simulator.

The model predicted the peak schedule, but the scientists did not predict the number of cases. “It is difficult to predict these numbers because they depend largely on the testing strategy and the people being tested, but our model shows that the peak hospitalization period will be 50% to 70% of the number of hospitalizations we saw during the Delta Wave. %,” Juneja said. He added that they have taken into account that during the peak period of the second wave, the occupancy rate of the Covid dedicated hospital and dedicated Covid medical center was approximately 18,000. In the second wave,” he said. He added that they have regarded the death toll of 90 people as the highest single-day death toll in the second wave. He said: “So, on the peak day of this wave, we may Seeing 30 to 45 deaths. “

Based on existing international data, their analysis assumes that compared with susceptible people, among people who are fully vaccinated and infected with Covid-19, the chance of using Omicron to be hospitalized will be reduced by 70%. Those who are fully vaccinated but not infected have a 55% reduction in their chances. Compared with Delta, susceptible people are much less likely to be hospitalized. According to analysis, compared with delta, the chance of symptoms after Omicron infection is also reduced by 20%.

Juneja emphasized certain warnings. In addition to considering data released by citizen groups, their assumptions are also based on data from South Africa and the United Kingdom. “We really don’t have data from India. We assume that 35% of people who recover from the disease are prone to re-infection. But this is just one of the many scenarios we are considering in South Africa. We also assume that Omicron is twice as infectious as the Delta variant. But this assumption is not yet fully established,” Juneja said. He added that these points should be treated as warnings.

Complete News Source : Hindustan Times

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Amitabh Bachchan Fan Faints After Hours of Torturous Waiting

Published

1 week ago

May 25, 2026

Digital Post

Amitabh Bachchan: Shocking Fan Incident Outside Jalsa

Amitabh Bachchan Fan Faints After Hours of Torturous Waiting

The weekly Sunday rite outside the renowned gates of Jalsa is nothing short of profoundly holy. For decades, thousands of deeply moved admirers have gathered like clockwork, hoping for a single glimpse of the iconic megastar.

Yesterday evening, that fierce commitment took a scary and sad turn. A middle-aged guy, who had been standing patiently in the scorching midday sun for more than four hours, collapsed unexpectedly.

He collapsed totally into profound sleep, landing directly on the harsh, unforgiving asphalt road. The happy, chanting crowd fell silent in an instant as reality hit in.

A Heartbreaking Moment of Desperation

According to eyewitnesses, this enthusiast travelled across various states for a two-minute glimpse of his idol. His quivering hands clutched a framed vintage photograph of the superstar.

As the searing midday heat reached its zenith, acute dehydration and utter physical fatigue overtook his body. His feeble knees bowed under the crushing weight of his never-ending, frantic wait.

He fell face first to the ground before anyone could react or grab him. The enormous crowd’s collective, frightened gasp boomed over Juhu’s normally peaceful suburban streets.

Sudden Chaos Outside Jalsa’s Gates

Within seconds, total fear spread among the observers. Fellow supporters quickly dropped their homemade banners and posters, coming to the fallen man’s rescue. Someone desperately sprayed cold water upon his pale, sweating face.

The large security crew stationed outside Amitabh Bachchan’s home acted quickly. They were able to remove the rising, panicked crowd, allowing the choking sufferer to breathe easier.

An emergency ambulance was dispatched immediately, while local volunteers attempted to revive him. In a few startling moments, the atmosphere went from exhilarating exhilaration to total horror.

The Relentless Sunday Evening Madness

Every Sunday evening, the veteran actor gracefully goes onto a high podium at his grand gates. It is a renowned custom that has completely defined Bollywood fan culture over generations.

Passionate admirers will miss meals, risk heavy monsoons, and suffer harsh summer heat waves only to see him wave. It is a profound, emotional bond that defies all reasonable logic.

For this heartbreakingly loyal admirer, the powerful emotional rush combined with severe physical tiredness proved to be a highly perilous, almost lethal combination on the boiling, sweltering concrete.

Security Personnel Scramble to Prevent Tragedy

Local police officers responded promptly to the chaotic scene, attempting to manage the emotionally charged throng. Medical staff administered quick, vital first aid on the scene, examining his critically weak and decreasing pulse.

The comatose man was gingerly put onto a canvas stretcher, still clutching his prized, sweat-soaked image of the actor. He was sent to a local hospital for emergency treatment.

On-duty medics eventually confirmed that he had severe heatstroke and acute, life-threatening dehydration. Fortunately, his medical condition improved after he received repeated IV infusions and intensive, appropriate care.

A Stark Warning for Star-Worshippers

This terrible, tragic episode has generated a heated, much-needed debate about the extreme limits of celebrity worship in India. Blind passion should never result in the death of an innocent person.

Jalsa is an undisputed historical monument to love, but yesterday it served as a grim, sobering lesson. Extreme physical endurance for a brief moment can easily result in a catastrophic medical tragedy.

As thousands of passionate individuals continue to flow to Mumbai every day, the fine line between beautiful appreciation and life-threatening devotion becomes increasingly, dangerously blurred for these fragile worshippers.

Terrifying Boundaries of Human Obsession

The burning passion that motivates these ordinary folks to risk their own health is both wonderful and scary. It emphasises the megastar’s immense, godlike influence over millions of hearts.

While the legendary actor continues to express love to his devoted fans, this dangerous occurrence demonstrates that safety should always come first. No fan should have to bleed or faint on the street in order to catch a passing shadow.

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