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Global Oil Benchmark Brent Tops $90 on Ukraine, OPEC Narrative

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Global Oil Benchmark Brent Tops  on Ukraine, OPEC Narrative

The words couldn’t be more fitting for the oil bulls who hit their $90-a-barrel target on Wednesday, not only from their own push but also from the tireless message of Wall Street banks that have been trying to get there for months.

Brent rose to $90.07 a barrel, a level not seen since 2014, as the London-traded global crude benchmark rallied 14% after surging 50% last year. Brent crude settled at $89.96 a barrel, up $1.76, or 2%, on the day.

West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude benchmark, closed up $1.75, or 2 percent, at $87.35 a barrel after a session high of $87.94. After rising about 50% in 2021, WTI is up 16% from the previous year.

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“In markets, narrative sometimes matters, not necessarily hard data,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital, an energy hedge fund in New York. “Aided by geopolitical tensions and the impression that the market is severely undersupplied, the oil narrative is now overwhelmingly on the positive side – something that can only be confirmed in a few months.”

Oil prices rose on Wednesday amid strong speculation that Russia will invade Ukraine, despite Moscow’s repeated denials of such an intention. This week, U.S. troops were placed on “high alert” for possible deployments to Eastern Europe, while NATO sent additional ships and fighter jets to the region, in anticipation of a worsening of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

Crude producers in the OPEC+ alliance, which includes Russia, have also reduced output in the past month, reinforcing the theory that the market is undersupplied.

U.S. gasoline inventories rose for a fourth straight week, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed on Wednesday, but last week’s huge buildup since late December eased as refiners processed less crude into products amid weak fuel demand. .

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Motor fuel gasoline, also known as gasoline outside the United States, is the most consumed petroleum product in the United States. Gasoline inventories rose by 1.3 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 21, compared with expectations for a 2.5 million-barrel rise after a 5.9 million-barrel rise last week, EIA data showed.

Despite the contraction in the latest week, the entire barrel of gasoline has swelled by nearly 25 million barrels since the end of December, a record high, as Americans start driving less.

EIA data also showed crude inventories rose for a second straight week as refiners processed less oil into gasoline. Crude inventories rose by 2.4 million barrels last week, compared with market expectations for a decrease of 728,000 barrels and a rise of 515,000 barrels the previous week.

The rise in crude oil prices has contradicted the state of a fuel glut in the United States, the world’s largest oil consumer. Wall Street banks also ignored this factor, focusing on geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and tight OPEC+ supply.

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Pahalgam Attack

Pachigam attack aftermath: International airlines avoid Pakistani airspace amid tensions with India

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Pachigam attack aftermath: International airlines avoid Pakistani airspace amid tensions with India

Due to a lengthier path, Lufthansa Flight LH760 from Frankfurt to New Delhi had to fly for over an hour longer on Sunday. Major foreign airlines, including Air France and Lufthansa, are avoiding Pakistani airspace as tensions between India and Pakistan remain high after a deadly terrorist assault in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, according to airlines and flight trackers on.

Monday. Air France agreed, stating that it had decided to halt flights over Pakistan due to the “recent evolution of tensions” between the two South Asian foes. “The airline has decided to suspend overflight of Pakistan until further notice,” Air France said in a statement, referring to the “recent evolution of tensions” between India and Pakistan The airline currently changing.

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In the wake of the recent Pachigam terror attack, a significant shift in international aviation routes has occurred. Following an uptick in security concerns and rising geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, several international airlines have opted to avoid Pakistani airspace, rerouting their flights to ensure passenger safety. The decision comes nations.

The Pahagam Terror Attack: A Trigger for Renewed Tensions

On the night of the attack in Pachigam, a popular tourist destination in Jammu and Kashmir, militants carried out a series of strikes on civilian and military targets. The assault left a number of casualties, both military personnel and civilians, sparking widespread condemnation. The attack, attributed to militant groups operating from across the border.

Airlines’ Concerns Over Safety and Security

In response to the escalating threat in the region, several international airlines, including prominent carriers from Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, have started to reroute their flights to avoid crossing Pakistani airspace. These precautionary measures, while not unprecedented, are a direct reflection of the security situation that has worsened in the wake of the attack.

Airlines typically rely on international aviation corridors for the fastest and most efficient flight paths, and Pakistani airspace has historically been a critical component of many international routes connecting Europe and Asia. However, in light of the heightened risk of military conflict, commercial carriers have begun to take proactive steps to avoid the region.

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European carriers, such as Lufthansa and Air France, have adjusted their flight paths over the past few weeks, choosing to bypass Pakistan altogether. Similarly, Middle Eastern giants, like Emirates and Qatar Airways, have rerouted certain flights to avoid potential risks associated with flying in close proximity to the disputed borders. These changes have led to longer flight.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has noted that these changes, while necessary, come with considerable logistical and financial consequences. Airlines must navigate alternative routes, which may lead to higher fuel consumption and longer durations of travel. Nevertheless, passenger safety is the highest priority, and the industry remains.

Diplomatic Implications and Regional Stability

The rerouting of international flights has far-reaching implications, not only in terms of aviation logistics but also for regional diplomacy. The decision to avoid Pakistani airspace can be seen as a subtle but clear indication of the international community’s concerns regarding with the growing uncertainty in the region, underscores the volatile nature of South the security situation between India and Pakistan. Such moves may further isolate Pakistan.

The Future of Aviation in the Region

As the situation unfolds, the aviation industry is closely monitoring developments. For international carriers, navigating the delicate balance between commercial operations and national security concerns is no small task. In the coming weeks, further changes in flight patterns are expected, depending on how the diplomatic and military tensions between India.

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